Schwab Klaus, Malleret Thierry. COVID-19: Der Grosse Umbruch

Weltwirtschaftsforum, 2020. — 202 p. — ISBN 978-2-940631-18-6."COVID-19: The Great Reset" is a guide for anyone who wants to understand how COVID-19 disrupted our social and economic systems, and what changes will be needed to create a more inclusive, resilient and sustainable world going forward. Klaus Schwab, founder and executive Chairman of the World Economic Forum, and Thierry Malleret, founder of the Monthly Barometer, explore what the root causes of this crisis were, and why they lead to a need for a Great Reset.Theirs is a worrying, yet hopeful analysis. COVID-19 has created a great disruptive reset of our global social, economic, and political systems. But the power of human beings lies in being foresighted and having the ingenuity, at least to a certain extent, to take their destiny into their hands and to plan for a better future. This is the purpose of this book: to shake up and to show the deficiencies which were manifest in our global system, even before COVID broke out.About Covid-19: The Great Reset
Since it made its entry on the world stage, COVID-19 has dramatically torn up the existing script of how to govern countries, live with others and take part in the global economy. Written by World Economic Forum Founder Klaus Schwab and Monthly Barometer author Thierry Malleret, COVID-19: The Great Reset considers its far-reaching and dramatic implications on tomorrow’s world.The book’s main objective is to help understand what’s coming in a multitude of domains. Published in July 2020, in the midst of the crisis and when further waves of infection may still arise, it is a hybrid between a contemporary essay and an academic snapshot of a crucial moment in history. It includes theory and practical examples but is chiefly explanatory, containing many conjectures and ideas about what the post-pandemic world might, and perhaps should, look like.The book has three main chapters, offering a panoramic overview of the future landscape. The first assesses what the impact of the pandemic will be on five key macro categories: the economic, societal, geopolitical, environmental and technological factors. The second considers the effects in micro terms, on specific industries and companies. The third hypothesizes about the nature of the possible consequences at the individual level.In early July 2020, we are at a crossroads, the authors of COVID-19: The Great Reset argue. One path will take us to a better world: more inclusive, more equitable and more respectful of Mother Nature. The other will take us to a world that resembles the one we just left behind – but worse and constantly dogged by nasty surprises. We must therefore get it right. The looming challenges could be more consequential than we have until now chosen to imagine, but our capacity to reset could also be greater than we had previously dared to hope.Einleitung
Makro-Umbruch
Konzeptueller Rahmen – Drei wesentliche Merkmale der heutigen Welt
Interdependenz
Geschwindigkeit
Komplexität
Wirtschaftlicher Umbruch
Die Ökonomie von Covid-19
Unsicherheit
Einige Leben retten, um das Wachstum zu retten - ein wirtschaftlicher Trugschluss
Wachstum und Beschäftigung
Wirtschaftswachstum
Beschäftigung
Wie das künftige Wachstum aussehen könnte
Finanz- und Geldpolitik
Deflation oder Inflation?
Das Schicksal des US-Dollars
Gesellschaftlicher Umbruch
Ungleichheiten
Soziale Unruhen
Die Rückkehr der „großen“ Regierungen
Der Gesellschaftsvertrag
Geopolitischer Umbruch
Globalisierung und Nationalismus
Globale Ordnungspolitik
Die wachsende Rivalität zwischen China und den USA
Schwache und scheiternde Staaten
Ökologischer Umbruch
Coronavirus und Umwelt
Natur und Zoonosen
Luftverschmutzung und Pandemie-Risiko
Lockdown und Kohlendioxid-Emissionen
Auswirkungen der Pandemie auf den Klimawandel und andere umweltpolitischen Belange
Technologischer Umbruch
Beschleunigung der digitalen Transformation
Der Verbraucher
Die Regulierungsinstanz
Das Unternehmen
Contact Tracing, Contact Tracking und Überwachung
Die Gefahr einer Dystopie
Mikro-Umbruch (Industrie und Unternehmen)
Beschleunigung der Digitalisierung
Widerstandsfähige Lieferketten
Regierungen und Unternehmen
Stakeholder-Kapitalismus und ESG-Strategien
Der Umbruch der Industrie
Soziale Interaktion und Entdichtung
Verhaltensänderungen – dauerhaft oder vorübergehend?
Resilienz
Persönlicher Neustart
Unsere Menschlichkeit neu definieren
Die guten Engel, die in uns stecken... oder die Teufel?
Moralische Entscheidungen
Geistige Gesundheit und Wohlbefinden
Prioritätenverschiebung
Kreativität
Zeit
Konsum
Natur und Wohlbefinden
Schlussfolgerung
Danksagungen
Endnoten